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In this guide, we’ll be taking a look at some advice you should follow to get the best NFL betting strategy. Football is by far the most popular betting sport in the US, so this text should be useful to a lot of people. Remember to combine this NFL betting advice with less specific guidelines such of NFL betting system – as bankroll management and value betting to get the best results.
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Table of content
NFL Betting Strategy
Every sport out there has its little quirks when it comes to online sports betting. Sure, there are a lot of principles that you should stick to no matter the event or league in question. But there are also more specific NFL betting strategies and tips that can help you specialize and bring your wagering to the next level.
Don’t Bet on Every Game
You would be surprised at the number of punters who just thoughtlessly bet on every game, every week, throughout the season. Knowing which NFL betting offers to take and which no pass up is a very important skill. Some weeks you may run into 5 or 6 great opportunities. Other times, you can barely scrape one together. Don’t bet just for the sake of betting.
Consider Where the Match is Played
NFL home advantage is always thought of as just that – an advantage. However, that is not the only thing you should factor in when looking at the location of the match. For some teams, this advantage means a lot more than for others. The New England Patriots are a great team to illustrate this: their record on home turf between 2012 and 2018 is 42-6 straight-up (32-14-2 ATS).
Moreover, keep in mind where and how the teams are travelling before matches. For instance, East Coast teams who fly to the West Coast for a match have to deal with playing three hours later than they are used to. On the other hand, West Coast teams travelling to the east usually have a much easier time overcoming the time change.
Keep Individual Matchups in Mind
This is true for any sport out there, but time and experience have shown that it is doubly applicable to American Football. Different teams have different strengths and weaknesses depending on their players’ aptitudes. This can have interesting results in the field.
For example, an otherwise amazing team might have trouble against a team considered the underdog due to how their respective strategies work. Coaches often use recurring tactics and plays. Try to understand just what makes these work well, and what makes them flop.
IF you have the time and available information, try to consider head-to-head stats of players. For example, a mediocre offensive tackle will not perform well against fast edge-rushers.
Pay Attention to Divisional Matchups
Divisional rivals play against each other frequently, allowing them to get to know each other’s strategies and playstyle. NFL divisional betting can shift the balance in interesting ways, where underdogs have a surprising chance at winning if they know how to capitalize on NFL favorites weaknesses. NFL ATS records confirm this trend, with the Chicago Bears and San Franciso 49ers being some of the best examples.
Divisional matchups often end up being much closer in practice than on paper, which can present great opportunities for a point spread NFL bet.
Diversify your NFL betting toolbelt
Moneyline, point spread, and game totals are the bread and butter for any sort of NFL betting guide. However, make sure to dig a little deeper. Some of the best online bookmakers often offer interesting alternative markets. Click here if you want to know best crypto bookies for NFL.
For example, some NFL betting sites allow users to adjust the point spread. Of course, this also affects the payout, but thinking creatively can allow you to make great value opportunities from otherwise uninteresting matchups.