A-League Prediction: Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City (24-10-2026)

Melbourne Victory host Melbourne City at AAMI Park on October 24 in the first Melbourne Derby of the new A-League season.

Neither side got the start it wanted in Round 1. Victory lost 2-1 away to Wellington Phoenix, while City were beaten 3-1 by Auckland FC.

Both teams therefore arrive looking for their first points, and the early defensive signs combined with the attacking quality available on both sides make the goals market particularly appealing.

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The opening round immediately exposed defensive issues on both sides. Victory conceded twice in Wellington, while City allowed three goals against Auckland.

Neither performance suggested that this derby is likely to develop into a controlled defensive battle.

Victory should also be sharper than their Round 1 result suggests.

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Giovanni Savarese’s side entered the league season after a demanding run of Australia Cup and AFC Champions League Two fixtures, including a 3-0 victory over FC Seoul shortly before the domestic opener.

That competitive workload has given the team plenty of time to develop attacking patterns under the new coach.

Melbourne City have enough individual quality to respond at the other end.

They may have struggled defensively against Auckland, but scoring away from home showed that the attack can still create opportunities even when the overall performance is below the required level.

The recent derby record adds another interesting element.

Victory won both Melbourne Derbies last season, so City have an additional incentive to play aggressively rather than settle for a cautious approach.

The hosts themselves have already identified this fixture as one of the major occasions of their home campaign.

Both teams are capable of scoring multiple times on their own, but neither defence currently looks reliable enough to expect a low total.

With the added intensity of a derby and both clubs searching for their first win, Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred selection.