UEFA Nations League Prediction: Portugal vs Denmark (14-11-2026)

Portugal host Denmark at the Estádio Municipal de Braga on Saturday, November 14, knowing that avoiding defeat will secure first place in UEFA Nations League Group A4. Jorge Jesus’ side have won all four matches, collecting 12 points, while Denmark sit second with six.

Their previous meeting in Copenhagen ended in a 4-2 victory for Portugal, providing a compelling reference for the goals market.

However, Denmark have also kept clean sheets in both victories over Wales, suggesting another six-goal encounter is far from guaranteed.

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For this fixture, the Asian goals market offers an alternative to Portugal’s short outright price, allowing bettors to focus on the combined score without relying on either team to win.

Portugal have scored nine goals in four UEFA Nations League matches, with Gonçalo Ramos and João Félix contributing three apiece.

Their attacking quality was particularly evident in the 4-2 victory over Denmark, when both forwards found the net.

The hosts have also conceded in three consecutive group matches. Norway scored once in each meeting, while Denmark managed two goals in Copenhagen.

That record suggests the visitors have a realistic chance of contributing to the total rather than leaving Portugal to do all the scoring.

Denmark’s four fixtures have produced 14 combined goals, an average of 3.5 per game. They lost 3-2 to Norway before the six-goal encounter against Portugal, although subsequent results have been considerably tighter.

Rasmus Højlund remains their main attacking threat, having scored three of Denmark’s seven group goals.

Team news introduces some uncertainty. Portugal begin life after Cristiano Ronaldo’s international retirement without suspended duo João Cancelo and Francisco Conceição. Rafael Leão, Tomás Araújo and Nuno Tavares have also withdrawn through injury.

Nevertheless, Portugal retain plenty of creativity through Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha and their available forwards.

The biggest concern is Portugal’s home record in this campaign. Their victories over Wales (1-0) and Norway (2-1) both finished below four goals.

Denmark also have reason to approach this match cautiously, with second place and quarter-final qualification still at stake.

An Asian Over 3.0 selection wins with at least four goals, returns the stake if exactly three are scored and loses with two or fewer.

Portugal’s attacking options and Denmark’s ability to respond make four goals achievable, while the push at three offers useful protection against another narrow home victory.