UEFA Nations League Prediction: Belgium vs France (28-09-2026)

Belgium host France at King Baudouin Stadium on September 28, with both teams looking to build on winning starts to their 2026/27 UEFA Nations League campaigns.

Mark van Bommel began his tenure with an impressive 2-0 victory over Italy in Rome, while Zinedine Zidane’s France secured a narrower 1-0 win in Turkey.

The visitors remain favourites, but the absence of Kylian Mbappé gives Belgium another reason to approach this home fixture with confidence.

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Belgium’s victory over Italy provided an encouraging start under Van Bommel. Mika Godts opened the scoring following a Kevin De Bruyne pass, before Dodi Lukebakio sealed the result with a second-half strike.

The Red Devils created several opportunities throughout the match, forcing Gianluigi Donnarumma into important saves before finally securing their first UEFA Nations League victory over the Italians.

That performance followed a successful World Cup campaign, where Belgium reached the quarter-finals before losing 2-1 to eventual champions Spain.

Their home form is another encouraging factor, with five wins and a draw from their previous six matches on Belgian soil.

France also collected three points in their opening fixture, although their victory over Turkey came at a significant cost.

Mbappé scored the only goal before suffering a knee injury that forced him off in the 58th minute.

The French Football Federation subsequently confirmed that the captain would leave the squad and return to Madrid.

His absence removes France’s main attacking threat, although Zidane still has considerable quality available through Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise and the rest of his attacking options.

The visitors also hold a clear historical advantage. France have won the last five meetings between the countries, including both encounters during the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League campaign.

Their most recent visit to Brussels ended in a 2-1 victory.

Belgium’s own selection concerns should not be ignored, with Thibaut Courtois sitting out the UEFA Nations League campaign and Jérémy Doku unavailable through injury. However, their performance in Rome demonstrated that Van Bommel has enough options to compete without them.

France remain dangerous even without Mbappé, but Belgium’s recent results and home record make another French victory far from certain.

With the draw also covered, Belgium or Draw is the preferred selection.