UEFA Europa Conference League Betting 2024 – Favourites, Odds

The UEFA Europa Conference League is the third-most international football club tournament in Europe after the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League. UEFA established this tournament in 2021. 

This tournament was conceived to offer football teams from non-top tournaments and mid-level clubs from major European leagues a chance to vie for continental trophies and foster engagement among enthusiasts through avenues like UEFA Europa Conference League betting.

The 2023/2024 tournament is already in the quarter-final stage after some thrilling games and drama at the round-of-16 stage. We already know the quarter-finalists and fixtures. The favourites, Aston Villa, are taking on LOSC Lille, while Fiorentina, last season’s runners-up, are facing Viktoria Plzen. 

Let’s look at the three teams who are favourites to win the 2023/2024 UEFA Europa Conference League and some expert-proven tips that can help you increase your chances of winning your bets on this tournament.

UEFA Europa Conference League


UEFA Europa Conference League

Table of content

Key Highlights

  • Aston Villa (ENG), Club Brugge (BEL), Fenerbahce (TUR), Viktoria Plzen (CZE), PAOK (GRE), Olympiacos (GRE), Fiorentina (ITA), and LOSC Lille (FRA) have qualified for the 2023/2024 quarter-final of the tournament.
  • The quarter-final first legs will take place on 11th April (Victoria Plzen vs Fiorentina, Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce, Aston Villa vs LOSC Lille and Club Brugge vs PAOK). The second leg will take place on the 18th of April.
  • Semi-finals first legs will take place on 2nd May (Aston Villa/LOSC Lille vs Olympiacos/Fenerbahce) and (Viktoria Plzen/Fiorentina vs Club Brugge/PAOK). The second leg will occur on 9th May.
  • The final will be on 29th May.
  • On betting sites, Aston Villa is 3.5 favourite to win, last season’s runners-up Fiorentina is the second favourite at 5.5, and LOSC Lille completes the top three in the betting at 7.0. Fenerbahce is 10.0 to win, Club Brugge at 13.0, and PAOK at 17.0. Viktoria Plzen is at 19.0 to win, while Olympiacos is 21.0.

Aston Villa Predictions – 28.6% Probability of Winning, 3.5 Odds

This season, Aston Villa’s form has been very good in all competitions. In the Premier League, they are in fourth place, having recorded 17 wins, four draws, and seven defeats in 28 games. They reached the semi-finals of the Carabao Cup and have won 61% of games in the Premier League alone. 

Aston Villa’s home form is very good, as shown by their recent performance against Ajax. They have won 11 matches, including the one against Ajax, with only a single draw and three losses.

The Villans away form is considered good. The team has accumulated seven wins, four draws, including the one at Ajax in the UEFA Conference League, and four losses.

The Midlands team has played 48 games and scored 100 goals, an average of 2.08 goals per game. In 30 games, both Aston Villa and its opponents have scored a goal.

Aston Villa progressed to the UEFA Europa Conference League round of 16 after comfortably topping their group. In the competition, they played eight games, winning five, drawing two, and losing one. 


They have scored 16 goals, conceded 7, and kept three clean sheets. In the round of 16, Aston Villa played against Ajax. They drew away and overcame Ajax in some style, with a 4-0 win at Villa Park to book their place in the quarter-finals.

Aston Villa will face LOSC Lille, a Ligue 1 side that is predicted to win the tournament at odds of 7.0.

Fiorentina Predictions – 18.2% Probability of Winning, 5.5 Odds 

Fiorentina’s season in all competitions has been average. They are 8th in the Serie A, winning 43% of games in the competition. Their home form has been strong this season. In Serie A alone, they have accumulated eight wins, three draws, and three losses.

Fiorentina’s away form is considered average. They have suffered six losses, picked up four draws, and suffered four wins.


Fiorentina qualified for the UEFA Europa Conference League round of 16 as the group winners. In the UEFA Europa Conference, they have played eight games. They have won 4, drawn 4, and lost 0. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 10. Fiorentina has only kept two clean sheets.

The team played against Maccabi Haifa in the round of 16. It won away with 4:3 and drew at home 1:1, qualifying for the quarter-finals, where they will face Viktoria Plzen.

Fiorentina has played 49 games across different competitions this season, having recorded 21 wins, 15 draws, and 13 defeats. 


⚽ What is Europa Conference League?

The UEFA Europa Conference League is a European football club competition established by UEFA in 2021. It provides mid-level clubs from major European leagues and teams from non-top tournaments an opportunity to compete for continental trophies.

⚽ How does Europa Conference League work?

The UEFA Europa Conference League features teams from lower-ranked UEFA member associations and teams eliminated from the early qualifying rounds. Like other UEFA club competitions, the competition consists of qualifying rounds, a group stage, knockout rounds, and a final.

⚽ Who are 2023-2024 UEFA Europa Conference League favourites?

Aston Villa, Fiorentina, and LOSC Lille are Europa Conference League 2023-2024 favourites.

⚽ Does Europa Conference League winners qualify for Champions League?

No, the UEFA Europa Conference League does not directly qualify its winner for the UEFA Champions League. However, the winner of the UEFA Europa Conference League does earn a spot in the following season’s UEFA Europa League group stage.

⚽ Which English teams qualify for Europa Conference League?

In the English football system, the UEFA Europa Conference League typically sees the winner of the EFL Cup and the teams finishing sixth and seventh in the Premier League qualify, contingent on the EFL Cup winner’s European qualification status through their league position.


⚽ Where can I find best Europa Conference League winner odds?

You can find best Europa Conference League winner odds on our thoroughly selected football betting sites.

LOSC Lille Predictions – 14.3 Probability of Winning, 7.0 Odds

LOSC Lille’s form across all competitions is very good. In Ligue 1, they have recorded 11 wins, nine draws, and five losses. Their performance ranks the football club fourth, winning 44% of games. LOSC Lille’s home form is excellent, with eight wins, three draws, and a single loss.

The team’s away form is considered average. They have recorded three wins, six draws, and suffered four losses.

In the UEFA Conference League, LOSC Lille have played a total of 8 games, recording five wins, three draws, and remaining winless. Lille have scored 14 goals and conceded 3. Lille has five clean sheets in the UEFA Europe Conference League.

They qualified for the tournament’s round of 16 after topping Group A. The French side played against Sturm Graz in the round of 16, winning 3:0 away and drawing 1:1 at home.

In 43 games, LOSC Lille has scored 81 goals, an average of 1.88 goals per game. Both teams have scored in 21 out of their 43 games. 


3 Main UEFA Europa Conference League Betting Tips

You need to consider several factors in order to make a successful UEFA Europa Conference League prediction.

Since the tournament’s first edition, in the 2021/2022 season, betting experts have been paying close attention to smaller details to provide punters with some tips and best possible wagers. Some expert-proven tips you need to keep in mind when betting on this tournament include:

Consider the Fixtures of Each Team Participating in the Tournament

Experts recommend paying attention to a football club’s schedule when assessing their chances in a Europa Conference League game. This factor is important to consider even when predicting the outright winner of the tournament. Let’s take Aston Villa, the favourites, as an example.

Aston Villa have a tight schedule before the European matches, with meetings against West Ham, Arsenal, and Tottenham. 

Such a schedule can negatively affect the team’s performance and form. Also, Aston Villa might decide to focus on their challenge for a top-four spot in the Premier League instead of the Conference League to play in the Champions League next season, which can lead to a loss of focus in the Conference League.

Get the Latest European Cup Stats for Every Team You Want to Bet On

It’s helpful to analyse every team’s statistics in the competition. Several aspects are available to consider here. The history of the team in any European competition will help. But you should focus on last season’s UEFA Europa Conference League stats. Focus on key stats like:

  • The number of shots
  • Successful passes
  • Possession ratio
  • Expected goals
  • Cards received and more

These indicators will provide you with an idea of a football team’s desire to win the UEFA Europa Conference League title.

Judge the Motivation and Desire to Perform Well in the Europa Conference League

You need to judge the team’s real desire and motivation in this third competition in Europe. For some years now, a difference in the interest and desire shown by teams has been witnessed. 

Some teams use weakened line-ups because they are keener to rest their players for important domestic fixtures, which are usually played only three days later. Some are keener to perform well and collect financial rewards. Judging the motivation and desire will help you make informed bets.

Who Are the Favourites?

Aston Villa are the favourites based on their performance, desire and motivation. However, they’ll manage to lift the trophy if they strike a good balance between their top-four spot and the UEFA Europa Conference League trophy. 

As things heat up in the EPL towards the end of the season, the team might focus its priorities on domestic responsibilities to secure a Champions League spot. If that is the case, Fiorentina, who reached the finals in the 2022/2023 season, will be desperate to get back and lift the trophy.

Aleksandras Rusinovas

Sports Betting & eSports Expert

Aleksas was a professional poker player who played in many European Poker Tour tournaments throughout his 15-year career. He has achieved great success in online poker, as well as reaching the final table and cashing 20 times at the prestigious World Series Of Poker event. Aleksas has always been interested in sports betting. He has a strong i ..
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