UEFA Champions League Prediction: Marseille – Newcastle (25-11-2025)

Marseille host Newcastle at the Stade Vélodrome on Tuesday night in a key Champions League league-phase clash between a side fighting to stay alive in the competition and one pushing for the top eight.

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Marseille come into this on the back of a huge 5-1 home win over Nice in Ligue 1, but their European campaign has been far less convincing.

Roberto De Zerbi’s team sit near the bottom of the league-phase table with just three points from four games and have already dropped six points from winning positions in this competition.

At home they are usually entertaining rather than secure – their last five matches at the Vélodrome in all competitions have averaged around four goals per game, with Marseille often starting fast but fading after the break.

Newcastle United arrive in France in far better overall shape.

Eddie Howe’s men just beat Manchester City 2-1 at St James’ Park and have won three of their four Champions League fixtures so far, scoring ten goals in the process.

They are yet to concede before half-time in this European campaign, which fits with the picture of a side that is well-organised and hard to open up when the game is still balanced.

The concern is their away record – only one win in their last ten competitive road games – which is why a draw-no-bet angle on Newcastle feels safer than backing the straight away win.

Given Marseille’s habit of letting leads slip and Newcastle’s stronger structure and attacking ceiling, the English side look better equipped over 90 minutes.

Draw no bet on Newcastle gives protection against a hostile atmosphere and possible stalemate, while the braver play is to take them outright at 2.60.