FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction: France vs Morocco (09-07-2026)

France and Morocco meet in the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarter-finals at Gillette Stadium, with a place in the last four on the line.

France are deserved favourites after another flawless run through the tournament, but Morocco have been every bit as impressive and look capable of keeping this much closer than the odds suggest.

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If you’re looking for more selections from the tournament, be sure to check our FIFA World Cup Game of the Day Tips, where we publish a fresh daily pick from the biggest matches of the competition.

Both teams arrive in outstanding form.

France have won all five of their matches, beating Senegal 3-1, Iraq 3-0, Norway 4-1, Sweden 3-0 and Paraguay 1-0.

Morocco’s path has been equally convincing, drawing 1-1 with Brazil before recording four consecutive victories against Scotland, Haiti, the Netherlands and Canada.

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The Round of 16 offered an interesting contrast.

France eventually progressed against Paraguay, but needed a Kylian Mbappé penalty in the 70th minute to secure a narrow 1-0 victory.

Morocco experienced a more difficult first half against Canada before taking complete control after the break, scoring three unanswered goals in an impressive second-half display.

Morocco have shown throughout this FIFA World Cup tournament that they are more than just a well-organised defensive side.

They have combined defensive discipline with enough attacking quality to trouble every opponent they have faced, scoring against teams with very different playing styles while remaining difficult to break down themselves.

France still possess the stronger squad on paper and deserve respect as one of the favourites to win the tournament.

However, a handicap of +1.25 gives Morocco valuable room in what should be a competitive quarter-final.

Even if France edge the match by a single goal, the selection still cashes, and based on Morocco’s performances so far, that outcome looks far more realistic than a comfortable French victory.