FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction: Argentina vs Cape Verde (04-07-2026)

Argentina enter the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 as clear favourites, but Cape Verde have already been one of the biggest surprises of the tournament.

Despite sitting 67th in the FIFA rankings, they reached the knockout stage without losing a group match and now have an opportunity to test themselves against the world’s top-ranked side.

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Argentina have looked every bit like one of the tournament favourites.

They reached the knockout stage with victories over Austria, Algeria and earlier friendly wins against Iceland, Honduras and Zambia, keeping clean sheets in each of those five matches while scoring fifteen goals.

Cape Verde’s route to the Round of 32 has been built on disciplined defending rather than attacking football.

They held Spain to a 0-0 draw, earned another point against Uruguay in a 2-2 contest and followed that with a goalless draw against Saudi Arabia, proving they can stay organised against stronger opposition.

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Those performances were not isolated results.

Cape Verde also recorded consecutive 3-0 victories over Bermuda and Serbia before the tournament, extending an unbeaten run built around defensive stability.

Argentina have enough quality to win this match, but breaking down Cape Verde’s compact defensive structure may prove more difficult than the market suggests.

The underdogs have already frustrated several higher-ranked teams and rarely allow matches to get away from them.

A Cape Verde +2 handicap ticket still wins if they avoid defeat or lose by a single goal, while a two-goal Argentina victory results in a push.

Given what Cape Verde have shown throughout the tournament, that safety margin makes this line attractive at odds of 1.90.