Premier League Prediction: Wolves – Aston Villa (27-02-2026)

Wolves sit bottom of the table heading into this Black Country derby, while Aston Villa remain inside the top four. The gap between the sides is clear both in points and in overall consistency.

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Wolverhampton Wanderers lost 1-0 at Crystal Palace last weekend and even missed a penalty.

That result summed up their season.

They struggle to score, especially early in matches, failing to find the net before half-time in their last eight league games.

Discipline has also been a problem, with Wolves committing more fouls than any other team in the league this season.

At home they have been slightly more competitive, avoiding defeat in four of their last six competitive matches at Molineux.

However, across the full campaign they have just one league win and have conceded 53 goals. That defensive record remains one of the worst in the division.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, have lost just one of their last 11 competitive away matches.

They have also won all five league games this season against teams starting the round in the bottom five.

Even when performances have not been perfect, they continue to pick up points.

Head-to-head history at Molineux is mixed, but current form and squad depth clearly favour the visitors.

Wolves are also without Ladislav Krejčí due to suspension, while Villa continue to manage key midfield absences without major disruption to results.

Given the contrast in quality, league position and consistency, Aston Villa at 1.92 looks the stronger side to back in this derby.