EuroLeague Playoffs Prediction: Real Madrid – Hapoel Tel Aviv (01-05-2026)

The second game of this EuroLeague playoff series returns to Madrid with Real holding a 1-0 lead.

The first matchup showed a clear gap in overall control, even if the final score stayed relatively close.

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This EuroLeague series Game 1 ended 86-82, but the scoreline doesn’t fully reflect how the game played out.

Real Madrid controlled most of the game and built their lead through consistent offensive execution.

The main reason the margin stayed tight was the fourth quarter, where Hapoel went on a strong run (27-16), fueled by efficient shooting – 5/10 from three, along with solid conversion inside and from the line.

Looking at the full game stats, the difference becomes clearer.

Real struggled from long range (8/28), while Hapoel shot significantly better (11/26).

That kind of shooting gap is unlikely to repeat in the same way.

Back in Madrid for Game 2, the expectation is a more complete performance from the Spanish side.

They’ve been extremely reliable at home, winning 9 of their last 10 and 13 of their last 15 across competitions.

Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, winning just 3 of their last 10 away games.

That contrast in home and away form becomes even more relevant in a playoff setting.

If Real maintains the same level of control and improves slightly in shooting efficiency, clearing the 87.5 line looks like a realistic outcome.