EuroLeague Prediction: Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid (13-10-2026)

Olimpia Milano host Real Madrid on October 13 in EuroLeague Round 5, with both sides looking to improve on 1-3 starts that do not fully reflect the amount of offensive talent on either roster.

Real Madrid have already been involved in several open games this season, while Milano’s defensive numbers have left plenty of room for opponents.

With the total set at 171.5, the points market offers the more interesting angle.

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Real Madrid have scored 345 points and conceded 350 through their opening four EuroLeague games.

That works out at 173.8 combined points per game, already above the proposed line despite their disappointing 1-3 record.

Their recent games also show the ceiling of this matchup.

Madrid lost 102-98 to Hapoel Tel Aviv in a 200-point contest and their meeting with Anadolu Efes produced 178.

They then scored 120 against Manresa domestically, another reminder of how quickly this offence can accelerate when shots start falling.

Milano have been less consistent offensively, but their defensive numbers are useful for an over.

They have allowed around 90 points per EuroLeague game through four rounds, including 97 against Maccabi Tel Aviv and 86 against Baskonia.

Their own scoring ceiling should not be ignored either.

Milano put up 106 points against Treviso in their latest domestic game, while their EuroLeague meetings with Maccabi and Virtus Bologna finished with 176 and 172 combined points respectively.

The main concern is Milano’s ability to slow games down when their offence struggles.

The 76-86 loss to Baskonia stayed below this number, and several of their recent domestic performances have also been more controlled. A 171.5 total therefore still requires both teams to contribute.

Real Madrid should help create the type of game needed.

Their first four EuroLeague fixtures have averaged almost 174 points, and the visitors possess enough shot creation and depth to push Milano into a faster, more offensive contest than the Italian side may prefer.

With Madrid’s games already trending around this number and Milano allowing plenty of points in Europe, Over 171.5 Total Points is the preferred selection.