UEFA Nations League Prediction: Portugal vs Norway (04-10-2026)

Portugal host Norway at the Estádio do Dragão on October 4 looking to maintain their perfect start to UEFA Nations League Group A4.

Jorge Jesus’ side have collected nine points from three matches, while Norway sit six points behind after consecutive defeats to Portugal and Wales.

The first meeting between the teams ended 2-1 in Oslo only a week ago.

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Portugal’s UEFA Nations League results have become increasingly convincing.

They opened with a narrow 1-0 win over Wales, beat Norway 2-1 away from home and then produced their strongest attacking performance of the campaign in a 4-2 victory over Denmark.

The Denmark result was particularly encouraging because it came without Cristiano Ronaldo, who had already left the national-team camp.

João Cancelo, Gonçalo Ramos, Vitinha and João Félix all scored, showing that Portugal still have several routes to goal without their all-time leading scorer.

Norway’s profile also fits this combined market. They have scored in all three group matches, beating Denmark 3-2 before losing 2-1 to Portugal and 2-1 to Wales.

At the same time, Solbakken’s side have conceded exactly twice in every UEFA Nations League fixture so far.

Erling Haaland, Martin Ødegaard and Oscar Bobb give Norway enough attacking quality to threaten again, but their defensive record makes another Portuguese victory easier to support.

Torbjørn Heggem will also be unavailable after being sent off against Wales.

The recent head-to-head is especially relevant. Portugal already beat this Norwegian side 2-1 in Oslo on September 27, a result that would land the same selection.

Portugal also hold a clear historical advantage in the matchup, with UEFA listing nine wins from 12 meetings.

Norway’s ability to score makes a simple Portugal clean-sheet victory less appealing, but it also helps the total.

With the hosts in stronger form and Norway consistently involved in three-goal games, Portugal to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 is the preferred selection.