FIBA World Cup Qualification Prediction: Australia vs Philippines (06-07-2026)

Australia welcome the Philippines to RAC Arena in Perth for their final First Round game of the FIBA World Cup Qualification.

The Boomers have dominated Group A, winning all five games, and they now return home looking to complete a perfect qualifying window.

With the visitors missing two key players, Australia look well placed to cover a sizeable handicap once again.

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The biggest setback for the Philippines is the absence of Justin Brownlee.

The naturalised forward has been the focal point of their offence for years, and without him the team loses its primary scorer, playmaker and late-game leader.

The injury to Scottie Thompson further weakens the backcourt, leaving the visitors with far fewer options against one of the strongest defensive teams in the region.

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Australia have already shown the gap between these sides during this qualification campaign.

Even with Brownlee available, the Boomers won 93-66 in Manila, controlling the game from start to finish.

Last year’s FIBA Asia Cup quarter-final told a similar story, with Australia claiming an 84-60 victory on a neutral court.

The Boomers head into this matchup full of confidence after dismantling Guam 124-52, a performance that included a FIBA record 24 made three-pointers.

Bryce Cotton enjoyed an outstanding home debut in Perth, while experienced players such as Mitch Creek and Keanu Pinder provide the physicality and depth that have become trademarks of this Australian side.

Playing at RAC Arena only strengthens Australia’s position.

The Boomers have already beaten the Philippines comfortably with a healthier opposition roster, and the current injury situation makes the task even tougher for the visitors.

A handicap of -21.5 is significant, but Australia have repeatedly demonstrated they are capable of winning these regional matchups by much larger margins.