UEFA Champions League Prediction: Atletico Madrid – Inter (26-11-2025)

Atlético Madrid return to the Metropolitano Stadium needing a result to stay on course for the knockout phase, while Inter arrive in Madrid having started the league phase with a perfect record and one of the strongest defensive numbers in the competition.

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Atlético Madrid come into this fixture on the back of five straight wins in domestic competitions, including a late 1-0 victory away to Getafe at the weekend, so confidence in La Liga is high. Their European campaign has been more uneven: two wins and two defeats from four matches, with both victories coming at home and both by scoring at least three goals. This fits a longer-term trend – Atlético have won 11 of their last 12 Champions League home games – but it also means they are relying heavily on what happens in Madrid to make up for below-par away results.

Inter Milan, on the other hand, have been almost flawless in Europe so far. Four wins from four, no goals conceded from open play and two controlled away victories suggest a side that knows exactly what it wants to do in this competition. The weekend defeat in the derby against AC Milan dents momentum a little, but before that the Nerazzurri had strung together four straight wins in all tournaments and generally look tactically settled and physically strong.

Historically the Metropolitano Stadium has been a difficult place for Italian teams – Atlético have lost just once in nine European home games against Serie A opposition – and Inter are still looking for a first win in Spain after a long run of draws and defeats. That, plus Atlético’s home streak, explains why the hosts are slight favourites in the market.

However, Inter is in better overall shape in this season’s Champions League and carrying more consistency across 90 minutes, taking the Italians with the safety of draw no bet feels like a sensible way to get the better side on your side without ignoring Atlético’s strong home profile.