UFC Fight Night 278 Predictions (07-06-2026)

UFC returns to Las Vegas this weekend with a card headlined by former welterweight champion Belal Muhammad and rising Brazilian contender Gabriel Bonfim.

While the main event carries obvious importance in the welterweight division, several other matchups on the card also offer interesting betting opportunities, particularly where finishing styles and matchup dynamics create value in the totals markets.

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Belal Muhammad has built much of his UFC success around consistency rather than highlight-reel finishes.

His record includes 24 victories, with the majority coming by decision, reflecting an approach focused on controlling rounds and limiting mistakes.

Gabriel Bonfim is a dangerous opponent with both grappling and submission threats, but Muhammad has repeatedly shown an ability to neutralise opponents over five-round fights.

His experience against elite competition and proven ability to win rounds consistently make the moneyline the preferred option in the main event.

This UFC matchup brings together two fighters with very different but equally dangerous finishing styles.

Shahbazyan has built much of his career around knockout power, with most of his victories coming by KO or TKO.

Allen presents a different challenge through his submission game, having recorded numerous wins by tapout throughout his professional career.

With one fighter carrying serious knockout threat and the other possessing strong submission skills, this looks like the type of matchup that could end before the judges become involved.

Few fights on this UFC card feature as many finishing indicators as Matt Schnell against Alessandro Costa.

Schnell’s career has included a high number of submission victories, but his losses have also frequently come inside the distance.

Costa shows a similarly aggressive profile with knockout wins, submission victories and relatively few decisions on his record.

When both fighters carry finishing ability and neither regularly relies on the scorecards, an early stoppage becomes an attractive angle.

Jeisla Chaves enters the UFC with an unbeaten professional record and demonstrated finishing ability prior to joining the promotion.

Duben has already experienced an early stoppage defeat during her UFC run, highlighting the volatility that can often accompany developing prospects at this level.

Given the finishing upside on one side and the uncertainty surrounding the other, the under offers a cleaner approach than attempting to pick a winner outright.

This UFC fight features two athletes whose defensive numbers raise questions about whether the contest reaches the final horn.

Cachoeira historically absorbs a very high volume of significant strikes, while Chandler’s striking defence percentage also leaves room for opponents to find success.

When both fighters show vulnerabilities during exchanges, it often takes only one damaging sequence to completely change the fight.

At these odds, the under provides an interesting value option for bettors looking beyond the main event.