Premier League Season Predictions 2024-25

The early stages of the 2024/25 Premier League campaign have seen a resurgent Liverpool battle
their way to the top of the table under new boss Arne Slot. Meanwhile, champions Manchester City
have suffered injuries and uncharacteristic poor form to slip off the pace.

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The likes of Nottingham Forest, Brighton, and Fulham are all overperforming at the time of writing,
while Spurs and Man United have work to do.

At the other end of the table, there’s all to play for as at least six teams are embroiled in the battle for survival.

So let’s take a closer look at some of the key Premier League outright betting markets as we give our
predictions about who will be celebrating or drowning their sorrows come May.

Unlike the Premier League winner market, the Top Four Finish market is far more likely to throw up
a surprise or two. In 2023/24, Aston Villa outperformed many of their better-fancied rivals to clinch
fourth place in the table and secure Champions League football.

The season before that, Newcastle achieved the same. So who could be this year’s surprise package and hence the value pick for a top-four finish?

There’s certainly no value in backing current leaders Liverpool at 1.05 or indeed Arsenal at 1.1.
Manchester City offer little value either given the court cases hanging over them.

Chelsea would be attractive to many as Enzo Maresca has at least ushered in a sense of stability and togetherness in the squad and they’ve looked like a proper team for the first time in a while. However, the odds of 1.8 are not brilliant as there are too many potentially confounding variables at Stamford Bridge.

Instead, our tip for a top-four finish and to get back into the Champions League is for Aston Villa to
sneak into the Champions League places once again. Available at odds of 7.0, the Villans’ victories
over Bayern Munich and Bologna have given them great confidence.

And although they’ve stuttered a little of late, we think they have the right ingredients to kick on and muscle their way back into the top four before the season concludes.

At the start of the current term, most pundits predicted Manchester City were in a strong position to
win their fifth top-flight title on the bounce. But the loss of Ballon d’Or and World Cup winner Rodri
to injury has already proved to be a massive blow.

With the Spanish maestro almost certainly out for the remainder of the season and the team suffering four consecutive defeats before the international break, Pep’s men are no longer favourites to land the title.

Of course, the ongoing Premier League hearings are also casting a cloud over City and – as we discuss later – the club could be handed a points deduction that destroys their title hopes.

The honour of favourites for the title goes to Liverpool, who have been performing exceptionally
well under Arne Slot both domestically and in the Champions League.

Currently priced at 2.3 on football betting sites to win their first Premier League title since 2019/20, this is the Reds’ second-best start to a Premier League season, with only their title-winning campaign proving more fruitful after the first 11 games.

Liverpool’s cause is certainly helped by Arsenal’s all-too-regular lapses which (combined with several untimely injuries) have put the Gunners on the back foot.

There’s a chance Manchester United (under new boss Ruben Amorim) or even Chelsea (who’ve
improved under Maresca) could get themselves into position to challenge.

Indeed, backing United at 151 each way (a third of the odds for a top-two finish) is tempting in case the new boss hits the ground running. But realistically, we think Liverpool are the team to beat this time around.

When people refer to the “Big Six” English football clubs, they tend to mean Manchester United,
Manchester City, Arsenal, Tottenham, Chelsea and Liverpool. The last time those sides occupied the
top six positions at the end of a Premier League campaign was 2021/22.

But there have only beentwo seasons when one of the Big Six didn’t win the title (2015/16 when Leicester won against the odds and 1994/95 when Blackburn Rovers became champions). Interestingly, Spurs have managed to hold on to their status as a Big Six side despite last winning the top-flight title back in 1960/61.

Essentially then, picking the Big Six side to finish ahead of the other five tends to be the same as
picking the side who will win the title.

And, as mentioned, our pick for the 2024/25 season is Liverpool. There’s a long way to go, but the stability and purpose Liverpool have shown under Slot have put them in poll position and we get the impression they won’t relinquish that position lightly.

We’ve cast our focus on the upper echelons of the Premier League table, but let’s now switch to the
other end. At the time of writing, four top-flight clubs are yet to reach 10 points: Ipswich Town,
Crystal Palace, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Southampton.

Each of these sides has just one win on the board. Feasibly any of these could finish bottom as none
has shown the fighting spirit needed to avoid relegation.

Two of the three teams above them, Everton and West Ham, are better placed to earn enough points to creep to safety with games to spare, especially the Toffees as Sean Dyche always keeps his head during relegation dogfights and he’ll ensure his players do too.

When it comes to the betting odds, Southampton are the favourites to finish rock bottom at 2.38,
followed by Ipswich at 3.0 and Leicester at 5.0.

These three sides have mustered the fewest shots so far in the Premier League, although surprisingly the Saints are second based on the number of passes made (behind Man City).

But here’s a curveball for you: how about betting on the current champions Manchester City to
finish at the foot of the table?

It might seem a ludicrous suggestion on the face of it, but once the Premier League hearings into possible financial mismanagement conclude early in 2025, City could face a big points deduction.

As such, backing Pep’s men to finish bottom at the current odds of 15.0 might not be the worst bet. The problem might be when the verdict is announced.

If that’s delayed until after the season ends, even if the points are deducted retrospectively and City do indeed finish bottom, most bookies will have already paid out on that market based on the positions at the end of the final day of the campaign.

If you don’t want to risk the Man City bet, your best alternative might be to plump for the Saints to
finish at the foot of the table.

As things stand, they’ve scored an average of just 0.64 goals per game, and their only points thus far have come against fellow strugglers Ipswich (with whom they drew 1-1) and Everton (a narrow 1-0 victory that came after just two shots on target).

The Premier League is undoubtedly the leading football competition worldwide. So, you’ll not be surprised to discover that online bookmakers offer deep and diverse EPL betting markets.

From match results and over/under to correct score and top goalscorer, here are the most popular Premier League Betting Markets.

A match result is the most straightforward EPL market that you can select. All you need to do is to pick either the winner or loser of the match. You can also decide to choose a draw.

Match results are simply the outcomes of the EPL games. They can be home wins, away wins, or draws.

When you’re betting on match results, you need to have some statistics in mind. Use top-rated stats platforms to find the information you need. For this market, you can look at stats like:

In the EPL, most teams win at home, especially those in good form. Also, draws are common, especially when a top side is playing a mid-table team or those at the tail of the EPL league table.

The over/under market includes the total number of times an event will occur during a game. In the EPL, this event can be a goal, a corner, a card, a foul, etc. Many top-rated bookies currently offer this market.

Bookmakers allocate the lowest and highest number to an EPL game, and punters can place bets on whether there’ll be fewer (under) or more (over) than that number. Read our in-depth analysis on over/under 2.5 goals betting strategy.

The bookmaker’s lowest and highest number will never be a whole digit. That guarantees the outcome will be either under or over. There can’t be half a corner or goal in a football match.

So, for example, if there is a game where a bookmaker is offering the market under or over 10.5 corners, there must be a total of 11 or more corners for your over bet to win.

Your bet will be lost if the number of corners awarded is ten and below. If you place an under bet, you earn a profit if there are nine corners and below. You’ll lose if the total is 11 or more.

Statistics are also available for this market. Look for goal-scoring information about the two competing teams. Many stats platforms offer over and under comparisons. Also, you should look for card and corner stats.

Many English Premier League games end with at least one goal. So research the goal-scoring statistics of your teams, including clean sheets, before you can make your bet.

A correct score bet is one that allows you to forecast an EPL game’s final score. This will be the result after 90 minutes. There could be extra time and penalties in some games, especially cup ties or matches where the winner must be determined.

Many top-rated bookmakers often offer attractive odds on correct scores. But making a prediction of this outcome isn’t easy. Two versions of the correct score are available, which include:

You need to access some valuable statistics to boost your chances of winning a correct score bet. Look at goals scored, average total, clean sheets, goals conceded, expected goals, and failed to score.

The exact score is difficult to predict in the EPL. But on average, most teams score two goals. Better sides manage to score between three and four goals. So research the two sides in your favourite game to determine what the underdog and the favourite can score.

With this simple bet, all you have to do is pick a team that will be the overall winner. It’s possible to place your bet at the start or when the race to the title gets serious. 

To make an informed bet, look for competition stats such as form, home and away performance, players signed and injuries. It’s advisable to place your bet after at least ten games.

With a minimum of ten games, you can be able to get the right statistics to increase your chances of placing an informed to-win-outright bet.

Pick a team that starts with 100% win across the first ten games. Or the one with the least defeats. Take into account things like expected goals, shorts on target, shots per game, and goals per game. With these stats, you can know if a team can score goals and continue winning games.

The Premier League Top Four Finish market has seen some surprises recently, with Aston Villa and Newcastle outperforming expectations. For this season, Aston Villa stands out as a solid pick to secure a Champions League spot, with odds of 7.0 reflecting their potential to repeat last year’s success.

Meanwhile, Liverpool emerges as the favourite to clinch the Premier League title, thanks to consistent performances and an advantageous start.

Southampton appears likely to finish last at the other end of the table, though a bold bet on Manchester City’s potential points deduction could offer unexpected rewards.