NBA Finals Prediction: Knicks – Spurs (11-06-2026)

The NBA Finals remain finely balanced despite New York holding a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4 at Madison Square Garden.

After two lower-scoring games in San Antonio, the series finally opened up offensively in Game 3.

The Spurs secured a 115-111 victory, producing a combined total of 226 points and reminding bettors just how dangerous both offenses can be when the pace increases.

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The most recent meeting between these teams comfortably cleared the proposed line.

San Antonio’s 115-111 win produced 226 total points, while both teams looked significantly more comfortable offensively than they did earlier in the series.

The regular NBA season meetings also support a higher-scoring outlook.

Two of the three meetings sailed past this number, including a 134-132 thriller in San Antonio and a 124-113 victory for New York.

Both games finished well above the current total.

Season-long numbers point in the same direction.

The Knicks averaged 116.5 points per game during the regular season while allowing 110.1.

The Spurs were even more productive offensively, averaging 119.8 points while conceding 111.5.

Finals basketball often brings a greater emphasis on defence, but this line has been cleared by both teams numerous times throughout the regular season and the playoffs.

Once offensive adjustments begin to take effect, scoring frequently becomes easier as a series progresses.

With Game 3 already showing signs of increased offensive efficiency and both teams carrying strong scoring profiles throughout the season, the over 212.5 points line looks achievable in Game 4.