FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction: England vs Ghana (23-06-2026)

England made one of the strongest statements of the opening round, while Ghana needed a stoppage-time winner to edge past Panama.

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England opened their campaign with a 4-2 victory over Croatia, but the scoreline arguably understates their dominance.

Gareth Southgate’s side generated 3.21 expected goals, registered 22 shots, 11 shots on target and created seven big chances.

Croatia’s goalkeeper was forced into repeated saves as England consistently found space in dangerous areas.

The result also continued a positive run of form.

Before the FIFA World Cup, England defeated Costa Rica 3-0 and beat New Zealand 1-0, while their only defeat in the last five matches came against Japan.

Ghana started the tournament with a 1-0 victory over Panama, but the performance was far less convincing than the final result suggests.

The winning goal arrived in stoppage time, and Panama actually finished with more shots, more shots on target and a higher expected goals on target figure despite leaving empty-handed.

Recent results paint a similar picture.

Ghana have won just one of their last five matches, losing to Austria 5-1, Germany 2-1 and Mexico 2-0 during that stretch.

The FIFA rankings also highlight the gap between these teams.

England are ranked 4th in the world, while Ghana sit 73rd.

Rankings alone never decide matches, but the opening round provided further evidence of the difference in quality.

England dominated a Croatian side ranked 11th by FIFA, whereas Ghana required a stoppage-time winner to overcome Panama.

Based on what both teams showed in their first matches, England should create enough chances to separate themselves on the scoreboard.

If they produce a performance close to the level seen against Croatia, covering a -1.5 handicap looks like a realistic outcome.