FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction: New Zealand vs Belgium (27-06-2026)

New Zealand and Belgium head into the final round of Group G still fighting for a place in the knockout stage.

While Belgium entered the tournament as clear favourites on paper, their performances have not reflected the gap suggested by the FIFA rankings.

The Belgians were held to a 1-1 draw by Egypt before playing out a goalless draw against Iran, leaving them without a victory after two matches.

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New Zealand may have collected only one point so far, but they have arguably looked more dangerous in attack than Belgium.

They scored twice against Iran and also found the net against Egypt, while Belgium have managed just one goal across their first two FIFA World Cup matches.

The comparison against common opponents is also interesting.

Belgium drew 1-1 with Egypt and failed to score against Iran.

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New Zealand lost 3-1 to Egypt and drew 2-2 with Iran, producing more attacking output in both games despite facing the same opponents.

Belgium are ranked ninth in the FIFA rankings, compared to New Zealand’s 85th place, but that gap has not been visible on the pitch so far.

The Belgians have struggled to create clear separation against either Egypt or Iran and now face a team that knows only a victory gives them a realistic chance of progressing.

With Belgium yet to win a match and New Zealand showing enough attacking quality to remain competitive, a two-goal handicap looks slightly too generous.

Even if Belgium finally edge the result, New Zealand have shown enough in this group to stay within that margin.