EuroBasket 2025 Prediction: Turkey – Poland (09-09-2025)

Turkey arrived at EuroBasket 2025 with the best team it could have. In addition to NBA player Alperen Şengün, the team includes a group of EuroLeague players: Shane Larkin, Sertac Şanlı, Cedi Osman, Omer Yurtseven, and Ercan Osmani. Adem Bona, Kenan Sipahi, Onuralp Bitim, and Furkan Korkmaz join them.

The Turks deserve praise not only for bringing a solid team this year, but also for their impressive play – their victory in the group stage shows that they are contenders for medals this year.

In the round of 16, Turkey faced Sweden. The game, which started at 12:00 local time, did not go well. Turkey played sluggishly in the first two quarters, scoring only 37 points and trailing by 5 points at halftime.

In the second half, we saw a completely different team, scoring 48 points. The round of 16 was not the best for the team’s leaders. Shane Larkin scored 10 points, hitting 1 of 6 three-pointers. A. Sengun scored 24 points but missed many easy shots.

Poland is still in the championship, but they were lucky to play Bosnia and Herzegovina in the round of 16. The team is racking up wins, but their play is not convincing. They beat Israel by a few points in the group stage, lost to France, and defeated Bosnia in the round of 16. Turkey will be Poland’s most serious opponent in this championship, and the Turks have a significant advantage.

Betting sites give Turkey a 10-12 point advantage, which is quite logical. A victory by less than double digits would be a good result for Poland. If Turkey plays to its full potential, then victory should be achieved with relative ease. However, considering that there have been almost no blowouts in this year’s championship playoffs and the line is set too precisely, the choice that Turkey will score 87 points or more stands out.

Although Poland’s games are often not the most productive, the Turks should set the pace in this match. They scored 85 points against Sweden, but only 37 in the first half. They scored 95 against Serbia, 84 against Estonia, 95 against Portugal, 92 against the Czech Republic, and 93 against Latvia.

Only twice did they fail to reach the 87-point mark, falling short by 3 and 2 points. In the quarterfinals, we can expect maximum motivation from the players, and the game will not start at 12:00 p.m., so we are expecting a more solid performance from the Turks from the very first minutes.

Although Poland will be the underdogs in this match, they should not be underestimated. The round of 16 match against Sweden showed that if you don’t focus when you step onto the court, you can get into trouble.

Poland is not a particularly outstanding team, with their offense relying heavily on Mateusz Ponitka and Jordan Loyd. The team is vulnerable on defense, with no one to stop A. Šengun, so the center should put on another impressive performance.