EURO 2024 Predictions: Croatia – Italy (24-06-2024)

At EURO 2024, the teams have played two matches each in Group A, which means that the third and deciding match is coming up. After that, it will be clear who will qualify for the playoffs.

Only Spain can be confident in this group, having won their first two matches (3-0 against Croatia and 1-0 against Italy) and secured first place.

Match prediction: Total UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.90

For Spain, the match against Albania has no impact on the group standings, while a win for Albania could still take them into the playoffs, but the Spaniards are considered the clear favourites.

The situation between Croatia and Italy will be far more interesting. The European champions have three points; a draw is enough to keep their title defence alive.

European Championship


European Championship

Croatia started the tournament with a crushing defeat against Spain. They were also down for a long time against the Albanians, then broke through, but when it looked as if they were going to escape, conceded an equalising goal in the last minutes.

Croatia had a tough start to the tournament, and beating Italy would be difficult.

Croatia has conceded five goals in two EURO 2024 matches so far. The defence has many problems, but the attack also needs more quality. If creating chances was difficult against Spain, it was no easier against Albania.


Until the 70th minute, Croatia hardly created anything. Then, after scoring two goals in a few minutes, they stopped playing again. Much more was expected from such players in attack.

Italy conceded the fastest goal in history against Albania, but they quickly fixed it and were 2-1 up in the 16th minute. They defended and took the remaining three points. Against Spain, they only lost 1-0, but Spain missed many good chances. Gianluigi Donnarumma made several excellent saves.

Seeing the situation of the teams, it is clear that the Italians will not be too worried about a win here. A draw is a good option for them, meaning the ball should be given to Croatia.

Considering how Croatia struggled to score in the first two games, there is a good chance that Italy will be able to defend. Even if they concede a goal, they can escape with a 1-1 draw. With the playoffs already underway for both teams, we can expect much more cautious football.

This EURO 2024 prediction is for guidance only and we are not responsible for your bets.

Dalius Mikalauskas

Sports Betting Expert

Dalius became interested in sports betting at the age of 16, although he could not place bets at that time (bets accepted from the age of 18). However, it was not forbidden to sell betting picks, which is what the author did actively on sports betting forums. Today, he has more than 18 years of experience in sports betting. In school, the auth ..
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