Copa Libertadores Prediction: Atletico-MG – River Plate (22-10-2024)

An international break is taking place right now, but in less than two weeks, club football will be back, and our eyes will be on the Copa Libertadores, where the tournament’s semi-finals start on 22 October.

Atletico-MG from Brazil takes on River Plate from Argentina, and Botafogo RJ, also from Brazil, meets Penoral from Uruguay.

The return leg will occur the following week, from 29 to 30 October, and the Copa Libertadores final will be played on 30 November. This time, let’s look at the Atletico-MG vs River Plate encounter.

Atletico-MG is the favourites to win in Brazil with odds of 2.10, but the overall favorite is the Argentinian team, who will play the deciding game at home. Obviously, Atletico-MG must have at least a one-goal lead after the first game to have a chance to reach the final.

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The option of Atletico-MG winning or -0.25 Asian handicap @ 1.80 seems like a good option, but this time, we are not going for a team win but for the away team to be goalless in the first match.

Let’s look at the home team’s path in the playoffs. In the eighth-finals, Atletico-MG drew 1-1 away and won 1-0 at home. In the quarter-finals, they lost the first leg 0-1 against Fluminense and came back 2-0 at home.

River Plate scored 1 goal away from home in both the eighth-final and quarter-final matches, but their opponents were of a slightly lower standard than Atletico-MG.

Looking at River Plate’s results in Argentina, it seems they are playing worse there than in the Copa Libertadores playoffs. Since May, they have won only twice away from home, once in the Copa Libertadores and once in the Torneo Betano at the end of September.

In this ten-match winning streak, they have scored five times away, all with one goal. It is not easy for a team to score, and given the importance of the match in Brazil, a 0-0 or 1-0 home win would not be surprising.

The odds of River Plate not scoring are certainly significant, but the value is fully worth the risk. For a safer option on football betting sites, Atletico-MG – River Plate total UNDER 2.0 goals @ 2.0 looks like a good bet.

This Copa Libertadores prediction is for guidance only and we are not responsible for your bets.