Premier League Prediction: Liverpool vs Manchester City (11-10-2026)

Liverpool host Premier League leaders Manchester City at Anfield on October 11 in one of the biggest fixtures of Matchweek 6.

City return from the international break with a perfect five wins from five, while Liverpool remain unbeaten despite drawing three of their opening five league games.

The visitors have been far more prolific, scoring 13 goals compared with Liverpool’s seven.

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Manchester City’s attacking numbers provide the strongest argument for the over.

Enzo Maresca’s side have scored 13 times from 10.49 xG through five Premier League matches, registering 27 shots on target.

Their most recent league game produced eight goals as City beat Sunderland 5-3.

Erling Haaland is also fit after returning from international duty and already leads City with five league goals.

Phil Foden remains suspended, but Antoine Semenyo and Rayan Cherki give the visitors enough attacking depth around their striker.

Liverpool’s seven league goals look modest, but they have attempted 76 shots – 22 more than City.

That suggests Iraola’s side have created considerably more attacking situations than their scoring return indicates.

The main concern is Liverpool’s availability up front.

Alexander Isak and Cody Gakpo have both been ruled out after suffering injuries on international duty, while Hugo Ekitike remains unavailable.

Bradley Barcola, Florian Wirtz and Dominik Szoboszlai will therefore carry more of the attacking responsibility.

Recent history still favours goals.

The last 15 Premier League meetings between Liverpool and City have averaged 3.1 goals, and City won all three encounters across all competitions last season.

Liverpool’s missing forwards add some risk, but City’s current scoring form and the attacking profile of this fixture keep the total attractive.

Exactly three goals would produce a half-win on an Asian Over 2.75 line, while four or more land the full bet.