UEFA Nations League Prediction: Croatia vs Spain (06-10-2026)

Croatia host Spain in Split on October 6 only a week after the world champions produced a convincing 4-1 victory in the reverse fixture.

The gap between the teams has only become more concerning for the hosts since then.

Croatia suffered a historic 7-0 defeat against England on Saturday, while Spain maintained their perfect UEFA Nations League record with a 3-1 win over Czechia.

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Lamine Yamal enters this match in exceptional scoring form for Spain.

The 19-year-old has scored four goals in the opening three UEFA Nations League rounds, putting him joint-top of the competition’s scoring chart.

He has also found the net in every group game.

Lamine Yamal opened the scoring against England in the second minute, struck twice in the 4-1 victory over Croatia and then scored after six minutes against Czechia.

He became the first player to score inside the opening ten minutes in three consecutive men’s internationals.

The previous meeting with Croatia is particularly relevant. Lamine Yamal scored after only 71 seconds, assisted Marc Pubill and added his second goal after the break.

Croatia struggled to contain him whenever Spain isolated him on the right side.

Their defensive situation has since deteriorated further. After conceding four in Seville, Croatia were dismantled 7-0 by England in Rijeka, meaning they have allowed 11 goals across their last two matches.

Ballon d’Or 2026 Odds & Prediction: Kane vs Yamal Recommended

Spain also managed Lamine Yamal’s workload against Czechia by replacing him at half-time after he had already scored, leaving him fresher for the trip to Split rather than raising any fitness concern.

At 2.20, Lamine Yamal to Score offers the better balance of price and risk.

His remarkable run of early goals also makes the first-goalscorer market around 4.00 an interesting higher-variance alternative, but the anytime market remains the stronger main selection.