UEFA Nations League Prediction: Italy vs Turkey (05-10-2026)

Italy host Turkey at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on October 5, with both teams still chasing a place in the top two of UEFA Nations League Group A1.

Roberto Mancini’s side responded to their opening defeat against Belgium by beating Turkey 4-1 in Bursa and then earning a 1-1 draw away to France.

Turkey remain without a point after three rounds and have scored only once during the group stage.

For those betting on Italy vs Turkey, Bet25 offers a broad range of football markets across both pre-match and live betting, with cash-out available on eligible in-play selections.

The crypto-only sportsbook supports 12 digital currencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, USDT and Solana. New players can also receive a free bet of up to $100 after their first wager, subject to the promotion’s terms and conditions.

Turkey’s lack of goals is the clearest reason to consider this market. Vincenzo Montella’s side were shut out by France in a 1-0 defeat and failed to score again in Thursday’s 3-0 loss to Belgium.

Their only UEFA Nations League goal came against Italy in the 4-1 defeat in Bursa.

That reverse fixture is the obvious concern. Turkey did find a way through Italy’s defence, while the Azzurri have conceded in all three of their group matches so far.

This is therefore not simply a bet on an Italian clean sheet.

The circumstances are less favourable for Turkey this time, however.

Arda Güler is suspended after collecting a booking against Belgium, removing one of their main sources of creativity and ball progression before an already difficult away fixture.

Italy, meanwhile, have improved since their 2-0 opening loss to Belgium. The 4-1 victory in Turkey was followed by a disciplined performance at the Stade de France, where Alessandro Bastoni’s equaliser secured a 1-1 draw against the Group A1 leaders.

The head-to-head record also remains heavily in Italy’s favour.

Turkey have never beaten the Azzurri, and the most recent meeting showed the gap Italy can create when given space to attack.

Turkey have produced just one goal across three UEFA Nations League matches and now travel without Güler. At 2.10, Both Teams to Score – No is the preferred selection.