NBA Finals Prediction: Spurs – Knicks (14-06-2026)

The NBA Finals return to San Antonio for Game 5 with the New York Knicks holding a commanding 3-1 lead in the series.

Despite facing elimination, the Spurs can take encouragement from the fact that every game in this series has been competitive.

The margins have been small throughout, and that makes the current handicap particularly interesting heading into a crucial matchup.

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Through four NBA Finals games, neither team has managed to create much separation on the scoreboard.

New York Knicks won the opening two games in San Antonio by scores of 105-95 and 105-104 before the Spurs responded with a narrow 115-111 victory in Game 3.

Most recently, the Knicks completed a remarkable comeback to win 107-106 and move within one victory of the championship.

That latest result was particularly impressive.

New York trailed by 29 points during the third quarter and still faced a 20-point deficit early in the fourth before producing one of the biggest comebacks of this NBA Finals series.

Even when the game appeared lost, the Knicks continued to compete and eventually found a way to win.

The series itself has shown very little separation between the teams.

Four games have produced winning margins of 10, 1, 4 and 1 points, with three of those contests decided by four points or fewer.

San Antonio Spurs may benefit from returning home, but the evidence from this series suggests New York are capable of matching them possession for possession.

Based on what we’ve seen so far in this series, getting 7.5 points with New York feels like a reasonable position.