EuroLeague Final Four Prediction: Olympiacos – Fenerbahce (22-05-2026)

The EuroLeague Final Four begins in Athens with one of the biggest matchups of the European basketball season as Olympiacos face Fenerbahce for a place in the final.

Both teams enter the Final Four with plenty of offensive quality, but several factors still slightly favour the Greek side heading into this matchup.

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Olympiacos Piraeus still look like one of the main favourites to win the EuroLeague.

Their EuroLeague playoff series against Monaco was especially impressive offensively.

Olympiacos consistently played with strong tempo, generated quality offense and comfortably covered this handicap line in every game of the EuroLeague series.

Fenerbahce still deserve major respect after reaching the Final Four, but their playoff series against Zalgiris looked noticeably more difficult overall compared to Olympiacos against Monaco.

That difference could matter heading into a single-game semifinal where rhythm and confidence often become extremely important.

Another important factor is location.

Even though this is officially a Final Four event, the games are still being played in Greece, which naturally creates a much more favourable environment for Olympiacos compared to most neutral-court situations.

The regular season meetings also support the handicap pick.

Olympiacos already defeated Fenerbahce by 17 points earlier this EuroLeague season, while even the road loss in Istanbul remained competitive throughout.

Offensively, Olympiacos also look slightly more reliable entering the Final Four.

Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul have shown occasional offensive inconsistency during recent playoff games, while Olympiacos continued producing high-level scoring performances almost every game throughout the postseason.

Considering the location, recent playoff form and overall offensive level shown by Olympiacos recently, the Greek side still look well positioned to cover this spread.