EuroBasket 2025 Prediction: Turkey – Sweden (06-09-2025)

Turkey provided a pleasant surprise in the group stage, defeating Serbia in their final match and finishing first in Group A.

In the round of 16, Turkey will face Sweden, which finished fourth in Group B with only one win in the group stage, defeating Great Britain. The Swedes played solidly against Finland and Lithuania, but failed to achieve any more victories.

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Turkey is in high spirits going into the round of 16, having defeated the favorites, Serbia, in their final group stage match to finish top of their group. Their victory over Serbia means they will face one of the weaker opponents in the round of 16, Sweden.

The Swedes won one game in the group stage, but played solidly against both Finland and Lithuania. However, they had problems with their defense – Finland scored 93 points, Germany 105, and Montenegro 87.

Turkey started the championship with a solid 93:73 victory over Latvia and immediately sent a message that they had come to the tournament with high ambitions. In their next game, they defeated the Czech Republic 92:78, then crushed Portugal 95:54. The Turks closed the championship with an 84:64 victory over Estonia and a 95:90 win over Serbia. In five games, they only failed to reach the 92-point mark once.

Considering that the eighth finals will be played with maximum determination and motivation, we can expect the Turks to show their best game. The Swedes have NBA player Pelle Larsson, as well as several players competing in various European leagues, but their overall level is significantly lower than that of the Turks.

Turkey’s advantage in the frontcourt is particularly noteworthy. Not only is Alperen Sengun dominant here, as the Swedes have no one to put up against the Turkish talent, but looking at the other players, the Turks should have no problems up front.

The Swedish national team usually tries to adapt to their opponents’ style, so the game could turn into a scoring race. It won’t be difficult for the Turks to attack, so the Swedes may try to look for fast breaks and thus speed up the pace of the game.

Another important weapon for the Turks is three-pointers. They have scored more than 10 three-pointers in three games, and in their last match against Serbia, they scored 18 out of 31.