EuroBasket 2025 Prediction: Serbia – Finland (06-09-2025)

The Serbs ended the EuroBasket group stage with a painful defeat against Turkey, which resulted in them finishing second in Group A. In the round of 16, they will face the teams from Group B, where the hosts Finland finished third.

Serbia lost Bogdan Bogdanović to injury in their second game against Portugal, and Aleksa Avramović also missed the second half against Turkey due to injury. The Serbs, considered the favourites of the tournament, have their problems, but they have enough talent in their squad to still be in contention for the gold medals.

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Finland entered the championship with high expectations – the group stage was held at home, the team includes Lauri Markkanen and solid supporting players, but so far, at least, the tournament is not going as expected.

First of all, they lost a crucial game to Lithuania – although they were only three points behind, the result does not reflect the true picture. The Lithuanians controlled the entire game and, if it hadn’t been for Rokas Jokubaitis’ injury, they would most likely have won by double digits.

After losing to Lithuania, they also lost to Germany in their final group match. In this match, they didn’t stand a chance – they said goodbye to their fans with a 61:91 defeat. In the first three matches, L. Markkanen scored 28, 43, and 26 points, but against the Lithuanians and Germans, he only scored 19 and 11.

The Finns face significant challenges when they encounter teams with better defense and more talent. The fast-paced team relies heavily on three-pointers, and when they don’t fall, they struggle to stay competitive.

Serbia will certainly be motivated after their defeat against Turkey. Even without Bogdanović, Serbia has enough talent to compete for the top spots. The Serbs are a particularly difficult opponent for the Finns, as there is no one to cover Nikola Jokić. With a particularly weak front line, the team will have no way to stop Serbia’s tall players.

In addition to their significant advantage in offense, the Serbs have enough defenders who can stop L. Markkanen. The playoffs are not a group stage; there is no room for saving energy here, so we should see the best of the Serbian national team.