Best Football Leagues For Lay The Draw Strategy 2024

Often abbreviated as LTD, lay the draw is among the leading football laying strategies on exchange platforms. Despite its popularity, some punters haven’t explored or tried it. First and foremost, gamblers can only access this market on betting exchanges.

Many traders, especially beginners, favour the lay the draw strategy due to its straightforwardness. Basically, this strategy involves punters entering a game before kick-off or when it’s a draw with the expectation of a score. The first bet will be a lay on the draw. That means you bet against the draw.

The odds of a draw will increase when a goal is scored. You place a second bet to back the draw. Basically, this means generating a healthy profit. The nature of this strategy makes you accumulate significant profits, especially when the goal comes later in the game.

You now have some basics about lay-the-draw strategy. It’s the perfect time to dive deeper and figure out some of the best football leagues in the world to apply this strategy on. To identify these football leagues, you need to analyse three unique entry points across various seasons, which include:

• Halftime
• 60^th minute
• 75^th minute

Note that this guide uses statistics from the previous three seasons, including the average number of goals, halftime, 60^th-minute, and 75^th-minute draws. It’s essential to keep this in mind. Read further to learn more.

You need to learn a few things before you discover the best football competitions for this strategy. This will help identify the best leagues for your strategy. First of all, it’s important to know the average number of scores in the league’s games. 

Let’s say this average is 2.66. If you lay the draw at halftime, you will succeed 75 per cent of the time in that league. If you lay the draw in the 60^th minute, your success rate is 64 per cent. When you lay the draw in the 75^th minute, you will earn a profit of 45 per cent.

Remember, if you think of succeeding when betting on these leagues, it means taking some profit in most of your bets.

Many people think that the highest-scoring football leagues are the best to lay the draw strategy. If it were that straightforward, then every punter could make significant profits and a living with this strategy on their favourite betting exchange. 

Football leagues with significantly higher scores than the average aren’t suitable for this strategy. The average number of goals in these leagues ranges between 2.93 and 3.93.

The best football leagues for this strategy are those with the average number of goals that range between 2.66 and 2.00. But this doesn’t mean that you cannot lay the draw on high-scoring football leagues. The only drawback is that you will always pay some extra fees:

• If a player or team scores, the upsurge in the price will not be as huge as those of leagues with the lowest average number of scores. That means you’ll earn a smaller profit.
• When you enter the markets, you’ll always lay prices that are higher compared to the average.

You now understand the factors that can increase or decrease your profitability. Football leagues with average or lower compared to the average number of goals per game but above the average success rate is the best for lay the draw betting strategy.

Such leagues are few. But once you discover them, you’ll be able to lay lower prices and back at higher odds.

If you want to enter at halftime, leagues with the average number of goals between 2.00 and 2.66 (scores per game with a 75 per cent success rate are the best).

Some exciting leagues are available for those who want to enter at halftime. Based on the latest statistics, four of these football competitions have a success rate of 80%. These football leagues include the following:

• Ukraine Premier League: The average number of goals is 2.52, with 114 halftime draws, 96 60-minute draws, and 81 75-minute draws.
• Scotland Championship: The average number of goals is 2.56, with 125 draws at halftime, 104 60-minute draws, and 88 75-minute draws. 
• England League One: The average number of goals is 2.64, with 379 halftime draws, 308 60-minute draws, and 292 75-minute draws.
• England National League: The average number of goals is 2.59, with 416 halftime draws, 335 60-minute draws, and 284 75-minute draws.
• Portugal Primeira Liga: The average number of goals is 2.61, with 200 halftime draws, 168 60-minute draws, and 127 75-minute draws.

Other competitions ideal for lay the draw strategy at halftime include Brazil’s Serie A (average goals 2.21), Scotland’s Premiership (average goals 2.62), Spain’s Primera Division (average goals 2.56), and France’s Ligue 1 (average goals 2.54).

You already have the best football competitions for laying the draw at halftime. Let’s now focus on the 60-minute entry point. With an average number of goals of 2.66, the success rate of the lay-the-draw strategy is 64%. 

Amongst the best football leagues to lay draw, there aren’t many changes. The Portuguese ones, Spain Primera Division, and France Ligue 1 are still there. Some new leagues include:

• Japan J. League Division 2: The average number of goals is 2.53, 316 halftime draws, 275 60-minute draws, and 211 75-minute draws.
• Finland Veikkausliiga: The average number of goals is 2.43, 118 halftime draws, 97 60-minute draws, and 78 75-minute draws.
• Georgia Erovnuli Liga: The average number of goals is 2.62. There were 88 halftime draws, 68 60-minute draws, and 57 75-minute draws.

The 75^th minute is a reasonably risky entry point. But you can still succeed 45 per cent of the time. You can achieve above 50 per cent strike above in some tournaments, even this late in the match. 

That is a huge surprise here! While the NWSL Women isn’t something that you will bet often, Japan’s J2 League or South Korea’s K League could be something you can always target.

You have gone through a list of the best football leagues for lay the draw strategy. As you place bets on your favourite betting exchange platform, keep in mind that the highest-scoring football leagues aren’t necessarily the best ones. Don’t start betting on these leagues blindly. 

While they are among the best for this strategy, you need to conduct additional research before applying it. Dig deeper into each league and team’s statistics to make informed decisions. That way, you’ll benefit from the lay-the-draw strategy.