EuroBasket 2025 Prediction: Greece – Finland (14-09-2025)

EuroBasket 2025 has reached the home stretch – on Sunday, Greece will face Finland in the third-place game, and Turkey will take on Germany in the final. Finland’s presence in the final four is the biggest surprise, but Lauri Markkanen’s team is not going to be sightseeing in the final four. They failed to put up serious resistance against Germany in the semifinals. Still, it must be acknowledged that Germany was the better team in the semifinals – playing like that, they would be considered the favorites against any team.

The Finns are a pleasant surprise in this championship and have a chance to finish the tournament with bronze medals. Their opponent is Greece. Giannis Antetokounmpo’s team has already achieved what it has not been able to do since 2009 – to be among the four strongest teams in the European Men’s Basketball Championship. The Greeks won bronze medals at the championship held in Poland at that time, and they would like to return home with medals this year as well, but it will certainly not be easy.

Although Greece is considered the favorite in the match for third place, it will be interesting to see how the team will prepare itself psychologically for the decisive battle after such a crushing defeat in the semifinals. The Greeks were unable to do anything against the Turks, and if they go into Sunday’s match with the same attitude, the Finns have a historic chance.

Greece is considered a favorite in the battle for bronze medals, but let’s take a look at their path to the semifinals. In the group stage, they defeated Italy and Spain, but lost to Bosnia without G. Antetokounmpo. Spain and Italy sound like serious contenders, but Spain did not make it out of the group stage, and Italy lost to Slovenia in the round of 16.

These results indicate that the team’s performance was not optimal. In the round of 16, Greece defeated Israel by only 5 points, and in the quarterfinals, they defeated Lithuania, which played without Rokas Jokubaitis.

In the semifinals, Greece faced its strongest opponent, and the level of this team became immediately apparent. The Turks demonstrated an excellent defense, while the Greeks were confused from the very first minute, with missed shots, constant mistakes, and a lack of fire in their eyes. Finland is not a top-level opponent, but looking at this team, it has been playing better and better since the start of the playoffs.

It is worth remembering that Finland knocked Serbia out of the championship, confidently defeated Georgia in the quarterfinals, and, although they lost to Germany in the semifinals, they fought to the end.

Unlike the Greeks, the Finns entered the semifinals as clear underdogs. They understood well that no one expected anything from them and that defeat would not be as painful as it was for the Greeks. Greece was even the bookmakers’ favorite before the game against Turkey, as it was unclear whether Cedi Osman would play for the Turkish national team.

Although Greece has enough veterans in its lineup who should be ready and prepared for the decisive match, the semifinal against Turkey was very demotivating. Finland, playing with good energy, has everything it needs to give Greece a fight, and if they do lose, the difference should not be significant. All betting options can be found at the best bookmakers.