EuroBasket 2025 Prediction: Germany – Slovenia (10-09-2025)

Germany and Turkey remain undefeated teams in EuroBasket 2025. The Germans came to the championship with only one goal in mind – gold medals.

All of their opponents were crushed in the group stage, and they started the quarterfinals with a 27-point lead. Still, after three quarters, the score against Portugal was 52:51. The Germans started the game unfocused, which was mostly reflected in their shooting – at one point, they had made only 1 three-pointer out of 23. Everything was decided in the fourth quarter, which they won 33:7.

Slovenia started the championship with a loss to Poland, but then looked better and better with each game. Even in the lost game against France, they played very solidly, and then came victories against Belgium, Iceland, Israel, and Italy in the round of 16.

Italy failed to take advantage of the opportunity to advance to the next stage, as the Slovenians were clearly better prepared for the game. Still, it is also worth noting the talent of Luka Dončič, who led the Slovenians to a 29:11 victory in the first quarter, after which they only had to hold on for the rest of the game.

In the quarterfinals, Germany and Slovenia, two attack-oriented teams, will face each other so that we can expect nothing less than a race for points.

It is difficult to imagine that the Germans will once again be so tragic from long range, while at the same time the Slovenians will have no way to defend themselves against the talent of the German national team. The Slovenians are facing their strongest opponent in this championship.

Although the Slovenia-Italy game was not very high-scoring, it is worth noting that the Italians scored only 11 points in the first quarter and 66 in the next three. The Germans’ game depends on long-range shots, but this team can create opportunities even without scoring from distance.

Playing against Slovenia should be particularly easy for them, as Slovenia does not have any good defensive players under the basket. It will be extremely difficult to stop Dennis Schroder, Franz Wagner, and the German big men.

Slovenia’s last opponents, Israel and Italy, were particularly convenient because they do not have a strong front line. Against Israel, we saw a complete scoring race – 106:96. The Slovenians can score points. Luka Dončič should get his average points, and the team’s overall performance will depend on how well the other players shoot. If the Germans are doing well on offense, they don’t push too hard on defense because they know they’ll win by scoring more points.

The Germans failed to reach the 100-point mark in their last two games, but Slovenia is an opponent that will certainly provide plenty of motivation. Luka Dončič alone makes this game much more interesting. D. Schroder and F. Wagner are well aware that this game will attract attention across the Atlantic, so the desire to perform well and defeat Dončič’s Slovenian team will be strong enough.

Considering that Germany should play better after their poor performance against Portugal and that Slovenia cannot defend, we are expecting a particularly high-scoring quarterfinal. You can place your bet at the best betting sites.