EuroBasket 2025 Prediction: Germany – Portugal (06-09-2025)

Before the 2025 EuroBasket championship, two favorites stood out – Serbia and Germany. There was a lot of talk about these teams meeting in the final, but we will definitely not see that happen, as Serbia lost to Turkey in their last group stage game and finished second, which means that Serbia and Germany could potentially meet in the semifinals.

Unlike Serbia, Germany dominated the group stage, crushing all five of their opponents.

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A 100-point threshold is a lot for any team, except Germany. In the group stage, this threshold was exceeded four times out of five, with scores of 106, 105, 107, 120, and 91 points. In the round of 16, we can expect to see an even better version of the Germans, as the knockout stage begins and there is no room for saving energy. There are only three games left until the final, and we can expect even higher gear from the world champions.

Portugal is one of the pleasant surprises of the group stage. They managed to beat the Czech Republic and Estonia to finish fourth in their group. The round of 16 is already a done deal, so there is nothing more to expect from this team. It is clear that the team will play without any pressure, as everyone understands that they do not stand much of a chance against Germany.

The Portuguese did not score many points in the group stage, but they also did not concede many, although the fact that they often played against weaker teams also contributed to this.

The Portuguese conceded 95 points against Turkey, which is the team most similar to Germany. Looking at the German game, there are no weak spots in their offense – Dennis Schroder and Franz Wagner can drive to the basket on every attack and finish the plays themselves or look for open teammates.

Many players can shoot from a distance, as well as solid big men who can both effectively finish attacks after receiving passes from teammates and create opportunities for themselves.

Neemias Queta, who plays in the NBA, stands out in the Portuguese national team, but one center will not be able to do anything in these games. He can score points in attack, but defense requires the work of the whole team, and here the talent is simply too small. We are looking forward to another show from the German national team.