EuroBasket 2025 Prediction: Lithuania – Latvia (06-09-2025)

The EuroBasket 2025 playoffs begin on September 6. In the round of 16, four teams from groups A and B will face off against four teams from groups C and D. The pairs in Groups A and B will be Germany vs. Portugal, Turkey vs. Sweden, Serbia vs. Finland, and Lithuania vs. Latvia.

The Lithuanians lost one game in five in their group and finished second, which means they will play the hosts, Latvia, in the round of 16. Latvia finished third in their group with three wins and two losses.

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Lithuania and Latvia are approaching the playoffs in different moods. Latvia has achieved solid victories in its last two games, while Lithuania lost Rokas Jokubaitis and narrowly avoided defeat against Sweden. Their confidence should have taken a serious hit, compounded by their tragic long-range shooting, which has continued throughout the group stage. The Latvians ended the group stage by crushing the Czechs, scoring 17 three-pointers in the process.

Lithuania will play without Rokas Jokubaitis, and Margiris Normantas’ situation is unclear, which means that the rotation of defenders will remain minimal.

The Latvians have their own problems – Andrejs Gražulis is out for the rest of the championship, Kristers Zoriks is injured, but the defender should play in the eighth final. Artūrs Žagars has also been injured several times, but he should also play. The team is not in the best shape, but overall, the situation is much better than that of the Lithuanians.

The Lithuanians played two solid games in the group stage, but then the difficulties began. They suffered a crushing defeat against Germany and beat Finland by only three points, despite being in control of the game and holding a double-digit lead before R. Jokubaitis’ injury.

Against Sweden, the Lithuanians played with a particularly small rotation and managed to win the game by three points, but the quality of play was very poor, with only two three-pointers scored.

Latvia will play the round of 16 match at home, just like the group stage. Since this will not be their first match in front of their fans, we can expect that the players will not feel too much pressure. Considering that Lithuania has lost its most important player, we can expect a confident victory from Latvia.