Men’s Roland-Garros Prediction 2024

The best of the best in men’s tennis converge on Paris for the next fortnight, fighting it out in the year’s second Grand Slam at Roland-Garros. Who will prevail in what is perhaps the most wide-open major for two decades? Read on for our men’s Roland-Garros winner prediction.

Heading into the French Open this year, there are five genuine title threats in the men’s draw:

• Carlos Alcaraz
• Novak Djokovic
• Jannik Sinner
• Alexander Zverev
• Stefanos Tsitsipas

These five are the tennis bookies’ favorites, and all have either the form, history or general caliber to win the tournament. A further two players are long-shots, but still realistic chances of lifting the trophy at Roland-Garros:

• Casper Ruud
• Andrey Rublev

Outside of these seven, anyone else winning Roland-Garros would be an enormous surprise. So, from these contenders, who’s the best bet? Here’s our men’s French Open prediction.

Our suggestion is to wager on Stefanos Tsitsipas winning Roland-Garros 2024.

The Greek has had a brilliant European clay swing so far. He began with a title in Monte-Carlo, his third at the Masters 1000 event. En route to the trophy he defeated the red-hot Jannik Sinner, plus world No 4 Alexander Zverev. 

Just a week later, Tsitsipas was in another final. This time, he fell to Casper Ruud in Barcelona, with the Norwegian avenging his Monte-Carlo loss. After three weeks of non-stop tennis, Tsitsipas had a blip in his opening match at Madrid, falling to Brazilian clay court specialist Thiago Monteiro.

It took an equally impressive performance to dislodge him in Rome. Nicolas Jarry served his heart out in the round of 16 to defeat Tsitsipas, with the world No 9 coming within inches of winning still.

That brings us to Paris, where the 25-year-old has already moved through the first round thanks to a gritty win over Marton Fucsovics. 

Tsitsipas sits in the same quarter of the draw as Carlos Alcaraz, and same half as Sinner. However, both of these contenders have injury clouds hanging over their heads. We feel confident that an in-form Tsitsipas is the best bet to either outlast, or straight up defeat Alcaraz and Sinner.

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In the final of Roland-Garros, there’s a good chance Tsitsipas comes up against Germany’s Zverev. The No 4 seed has already sent Rafael Nadal home, and given his patchy form, we predict he’ll be the downfall of Novak Djokovic as well.

We favor Tsitsipas in a final against Zverev, however. 

The pair met just recently in Monte-Carlo, with Tsitsipas prevailing in straight sets. This extended the Greek’s dominance of the head-to-head to 10-5, winning three of their last four meetings. On clay he’s particularly supreme, leading Zverev 5-1.

Of the contenders to win Roland-Garros, Tsitsipas is currently the fifth favorite at most major bookmakers. This gives the No 9 seed some juicy odds, with a payout of approximately 9.00 for Tsitsipas to win if you get a bet in now.

This Roland-Garros prediction is for guidance only and we are not responsible for your bets.

The Roland Garros event will once again be played on a clay surface, which makes it different from many other major events. The clay surface is known as the slowest possible surface to play on, giving players those extra few split seconds to judge what is happening and play the ball.

This means the tournament favours big hitting players, who can get extreme power on the ball despite the surface. We have seen Rafael Nadal dominate this event in recent years for exactly that reason, and it is players like Nadal who you need to be looking for, instead of softer hitting finesse players.

Of course, fitness plays a big part in all tennis games, no matter what the tournament but the French Open requires even more compared to some other events.

The tournament is played in the hot French sun, which makes sport that little bit harder. On top of that, you also have to focus on the surface and what it does to players. Generally speaking, the games on clay give players a little longer to play the ball as the bounce is a little slower than elsewhere.

This results in more rallies, and longer rallies once the players get going. This means points are harder to win, they take longer to win and that means longer and tougher games on the players. If you are going to the final of a competition like this then you are going to have to play a lot of games.

With each point taking longer to win, and each game lasting longer, only the very best in terms of fitness will be able to handle the fatigue factor at Roland-Garros.

When you are placing your bets, especially if you are looking at a player on the outright win market, be sure to factor this in.

The winner of this tournament will have to play many games, and those games will be tough to handle, so only go with players who have proven stamina, and who you have seen control and win long tournaments like this in the past.

If you are looking for a type of player that is capable of winning Roland-Garros, then it is a hard-hitting player who can really put some power behind their forehands. This is a slow surface to play on, and you need all the power you can get.

Without power, players will eventually end up in long rallies that are the toss of a coin, as both players will struggle to hit that final winning ball to take the point.

If you look at Rafael Nadal, who has dominated this tournament for so long, he is exactly the kind of player you need. If you are looking for an up and coming player who could have success in France then look for someone who is as close to Nadal as possible in their style of play.

We sometimes see upsets in tennis, where the lower ranked players can land a surprise win over someone near the top of the rankings. However, this is less likely to happen in the Grand Slam events, and this is something to think about if you are placing a bet on individual games.

The star players all target the big events, and they work their season around them. If there is a Grand Slam on the horizon, they will ensure that they play the tournaments beforehand that give them the best possible preparation.

This is completely the opposite for lower ranked players, who have to play as many tournaments as possible to get together ranking points to stay on tour.

The week before a Grand Slam is often a great time for these players to play, as the big guns are usually at home resting ahead of what is coming up, so you will often find that the lower ranked players have had a much harder build up than those at the top.

This is why the top-ranked players often do very well at big events, and upsets are less likely to happen here. When the big players come to play, they are very difficult to beat, and on a big stage like Roland-Garros that is certainly the case.