Australian Open Predictions 2025

The 2025 Australian Open isn’t just the first Grand Slam of the year, it’s an audition for the entire field of tennis. Much of what happens in Melbourne continues throughout the year. The 2024 edition showed us a couple of trends which defined the season, making this tournament particularly interesting.

Will this be the start of the end for Novak Djokovic? It’s far more likely after the draw which put him in arguably the strongest quarter.

Will this event prove to be the continuation of the era of Jannik Sinner? Very likely, as Sinner got a straightforward quarter with most of his rivals being players he’s beaten regularly.

Can Daniil Medvedev resurrect his career in a meaningful way? Tough to say, but he’s become a dad again, so maybe that inspires him further.

Will Alexander Zverev finally prove his potential by winning a Grand Slam? He might, because his quarter is arguably the weakest of all the big seeds in Melbourne this year.

There are many questions and by the end of it, the Australian Open will provide us with many answers. Keep reading to find out everything you need to know about betting on the year’s first major, complete with our 2025 Australian Open predictions.

• This upcoming edition of the Australian Open will more or less feel the same for players, with a familiar structure and setup to last season. You can expect players who traditionally do well, to keep doing well.
• Barring any late injuries, the best of the best should be in action at the 2025 Australian Open. This makes it a must-watch event for all tennis fans and possibly the most exciting out of the four Grand Slams that will happen in 2025.
• The top seed is Jannik Sinner, who is also the statistically most likely player to actually win the event, boasting a 42% chance of doing so with odds of 2.37. The Italian is coming off a historic season where he dominated on hard courts, including last year’s Australian Open and the US Open.
• The second-best chance to win at the event belongs to Carlos Alcaraz, who has a 22% chance of winning the event with odds of 4.50. The Spaniard also won two Grand Slams in 2024.
• The third-best odds of winning the event belong to Novak Djokovic, who is about 18% likely to claim the title with odds of 5.50. Melbourne is a happy hunting ground for the Serbian – he’s won this event a record 10 times.
• The other player with a reasonable chance of prevailing is Alexander Zverev, at 10% and odds of 10.00. The German elevated his game last year, but is yet to win a Grand Slam.
• Last player to mention is Daniil Medvedev, who is given a 6.7% chance of winning with odds of 15.00. The Russian has never won in Melbourne but has contested the final twice. 

Sinner is the favorite on tennis betting sites to win the Australian Open because he’s simply been a winning machine the past year. 

Since the US Open, nobody has really come close to him, and while Alcaraz did beat him in Beijing, he barely did so as Sinner was only a few points away from victory. It took a historic rally in the final set tiebreak to beat the Italian, and that’s a good thing for the rest of the field.

The 23-year-old dominated in Australia last year, with the fast, hard courts perfectly suited to him. He’s a proven champion with two Grand Slams under his belt now, and he’s only going to get better. 

With a 42-3 record on hard courts last year (including exhibitions), the Italian is by far the best hard court player in the world and hence the deserved favorite for the upcoming Australian Open.

The draw he has been handed this year served to shorten his odds even further. He has a straightforward path to the final, with Alcaraz, Djokovic and Zverev all on the other side of the draw.

Carlos Alcaraz is the second favorite mostly because he’s the second-best player in the world. But also, realistically, he’s the only one that has proven that he can beat Sinner consistently. 

The Spaniard beat Sinner in all three of their meetings in 2024, including twice on hard courts, making him the only player to do that more than once.

He matches up well stylistically with Sinner, but the problem for him will be a pretty poor track record in Australia so far. 

Alcaraz hasn’t really looked all too great down under. He generally does prefer a bit of a slower and higher bouncing hard court – like Indian Wells and Beijing – where he beat Sinner. That’s not the type of court in Melbourne, but still, he’s more likely to win than any other player not named Sinner.

Still, his odds are considerably lower than that of the Italian.

Next up is Novak Djokovic and while he hasn’t really looked as sharp for much of 2024, you can’t dismiss his record at the Australian Open. He won it 10 times, he loves the place, and he plays super well there.

While his level might not consistently be as good as that of Sinner or Alcaraz, the Olympic champion proved that he’s still good enough to beat them. That’s good enough to declare him the third favorite behind these two.

His odds are slightly longer with Alcaraz, who he will likely meet in the quarter-finals. But he’s got a tougher draw before then, and it’s very unlikely that he will be able to come out of his quarter, at least not with how he has played in the past.

Tennis fans should also check our article on the greatest servers in tennis history.

Zverev is the fourth name when it comes to realistic contenders in Melbourne.

Down under isn’t the best place for him historically, but he made the semi-finals last year and has consistently been one of the three best players in the world the past 12 months.

With his serve being a major weapon on a fast court like this, it’s not impossible for him to have a magical run and possibly win the event.

However, the big hurdle for Zverev to overcome is mental. The German is often labeled as the best-ever player that hasn’t won a Grand Slam. If he gets to the business end of the Australian Open 2025, he’ll face all kinds of pressure to shake this moniker.

Medvedev has performed well enough in Australia, making a couple of finals including last year. He’s not likely to win it, but if things go catastrophically wrong with Sinner, Alcaraz, Djokovic, and Zverev, he’s more than capable of stepping up to the plate in their absence.

On his day, the Russian is also able to spring an upset on any of the big favorites. Think Djokovic at the US Open in 2021, or Alcaraz at the 2023 US Open.

He’s one of the players that beat Sinner last year, and while that was on grass, he also stood in the final against him in Melbourne, winning two sets. If somebody emerges from the shadows to win the event, it might just be Medvedev.

Let’s look at the three main betting tips for the Australian Open.

The Australian Open is played on a hard court surface, and it is one of two grand slam events to be played on this kind of surface, with the US Open being the other.

With two grand slams played on this kind of surface, and many other events, you will have a lot of form to look at on the surface. This should help you work out which players do well on the surface and who struggles.

The hard court surface is medium to fast in its speed, which is more like a grass court than a clay court, which is often slow. Players can put a lot of spin on the ball because of the high bounce but also look out for big servers, who can have an advantage with the court speed adding to their service power.

There is no such thing as a hard court specialist so you don’t need to look out for those players. However, the fast game will favour some more than others.

If you are going to use a strategy to narrow down players, perhaps the best thing to do is to avoid those who thrive on the slow clay courts as this is the complete opposite.

When you are normally looking at a tennis tournament you should always look out for which players have played a lot recently and could be fatigued, while also looking out for players who have not played and may have fitness issues.

This tournament is slightly different to most events, and this isn’t something you should be looking for.

Being at the start of the season, every single player will be targeting this event. Everyone will want to be 100% for it, and the only ones who won’t be at their best are those that are carrying serious injuries from the season before, but you will know about those.

There will also be no fatigue for you to consider, something else that should make finding the winner a little easier. When we get to the middle of the summer you have to watch out for fatigued players who are playing too much, especially those who are older but in this tournament you don’t.

Whether it is beginning fit enough, or not being fatigued, you won’t have any problems here. The players are all professionals and with this event being right at the start of the season they will all have their own routine that they trust to get them 100% spot on for this two-week event.

When you look back at the previous winners of this event, especially the men’s event, you will notice that the big names are always involved. Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Stan Wawrinka have won every single year between them since 2006 up until last season.

Those four are all top players, and the two players who like to play with spin and finesse, Federer and Djokovic, have won more titles than anyone else in recent years.

This is because there are fewer variables in a tournament like this. Almost everyone can adapt their game to this surface, and as we have already mentioned above, there are no fitness and fatigue issues for you to consider when making those picks.

Those things should all lead to fewer shocks in the tournament and more games going the way of the favorite.

While it is a simple strategy to talk about, it has been proven time and time again that sticking with the favorites in this tournament is the best way to go. The favorites are simply the best-ranked players, and with few variables to stop them, this has always been a good tournament for them to compete in.

The women’s game is always more open than the men’s, but the same principle applies to them. We haven’t seen a group of women dominate the game as we have in the men’s event, but seven of the last ten female champions have been ranked in the top ten when they won the tournament.

If you want to make reliable 2025 Aussie Open predictions , you need to have some AUS Open betting tips in mind. Some of the Australian Open tips that pro bettors use include the following:

• Take into consideration the ATP race
• Observe the history of the Australian Open tournament
• Look at the head-to-head history of the players in the match
• Analyse the form of the players in any Australian Open game before making the final decision